r/canadaguns 12d ago

News / Politics / Activism Supreme Court Hearing Date Set!

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644 Upvotes

179 comments sorted by

145

u/Cock_ball_dickin 12d ago

I’m not gonna lie I’m incredibly nervous. How do you all think it will go?

329

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

Truthfully there is serious merit to the case, because the argument isn’t really about guns it’s about the governments ability to declare criminal law via OIC and the seizure of property.

Theoretically if the government wins, it sets a highly dangerous precedent in that any government, minority or majority can rule via OIC and criminalize and seize property. So in effect a government could say “your gas cars are now a threat to the environment, via oic they are banned and only 5% of you will get compensation”

They could OIC new speech laws and hate speech and then straight criminalize their opponents. So this isn’t a shoe in for the government.

On the flip side, the LPC might want to drop the battle, because the Supreme Court could neuter the power of OIC’s and I don’t think they want that either

129

u/aegisone 12d ago

This is the talking point that we need be advertising and talking to friends and neighbours about. We lose people’s interest and sympathy when we make it about guns and our personal hobbies, but if we can show them how it widens to governments power to affect them, their hobbies and property we might get some support. Good example of the car and environment angle, very real and relatable.

56

u/GinnAdvent 12d ago

I have always going from the angle of proper fund allocation. Such that the money for gun confiscation should have gone to border security, and community crime prevention instead of buying firearm from legal firearm owners who didn't pose a threat to the public safety.

This way, it's more relatable

11

u/zetagundam12 11d ago

"Take all the money wasted over the past few years on this garbage, give it to community outreach programs and you'd have a 10,000% greater effect on violent crime" Paraphrased how I've convinced gun fearing friends to care

11

u/TescoValueSoup 12d ago

the time to get neighbors and friends on board was 2020. We're long past that now, the outcome is entirely out of our hands as individual firearm owners.

6

u/ADrunkMexican 11d ago

not necessarily, i think the bc land case can help in our favor.

2

u/gspotcowboy 10d ago

I bring up other toys like sports cars, motorcycles and ATVs.

If someone owned a WRX and tomorrow the government called it a race style automobile to outlaw it under the guise of public safety, should they have to surrender their property "to save lives"?

320 pedestrians were killed in Canada by motor vehicles in 2023, compared to 289 gun related homicides. Where is the pressure to outlaw sidewalks? Lol

27

u/scottsuplol 12d ago

Also that fact that they have failed time and time again to produce the evidence requested behind the grounds for the “buy back” having any positive for the safety of Canadians and failed to show what experts assessed the program

15

u/CalibreMag 12d ago

Unfortunately that has no bearing on the Supreme Court's decision.

They cannot take into account the efficacy of a law, only its legality.

11

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

Further proof that the Charter of Rights and Freedoms isn't worth the paper it's written on.

38

u/Cock_ball_dickin 12d ago

Agreed. There 100% is merit, but ahhh. I’m just scared man lol. Because either way, I know for 100% they’ll just shove a bill through parliament banning all kinds of shit.

Also you think the people who are like “supporting” the case (I don’t know how it works) that the CCFR have been posting about will shift things at all?

48

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

I do think it shifts because they aren’t “supporting” they’re in the case. While the CCFR started it I believe the provinces are going to end it. The attorney general of 3 provinces are now directly arguing they are against it.

This creates multiple constitutional battles that the federal government has to tread carefully. Private property is provincial full stop….firearms are property full stop.

So the Supreme Court has to weight “can the federal government overrule all private property and criminalize the citizens of these provinces via OIC alone” this is legitimately a serious question, if answered wrong…well the tac teams will be busy in this country….maybe even the military

31

u/Natural_Comparison21 12d ago

I think people are not seeing the serious ramifications of this case. This goes beyond guns. Yea the liberals would most likely make new legislation if the SCC rules against them. However it’s hella concerning if the CCFR does not win. As you said it means that any government with just the most amount of seats can OIC anything they want. I think even the courts realize or should realize that sets a dangerous precedence. On occasion I have hope for the courts. Sometimes they just make you go through a humiliation ritual that is the court system to prove you are right. The government dragged a man’s name through the mud and that’s how we got the Oakes Test. Mister Oakes being claimed as a drug trafficker for just having a certain amount of drugs to many. No other evidence required. It’s messed up but sometimes that the case. They must punish you before they let you have the bone.

19

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

Also I think calibre mag was also discussing how the gov went about determining the firearms were appropriate for sporting and hunting purposes. Most of the firearms banned were for legitimate purposes and they did not clearly define what made them inappropriate. The fact that the prohibitions have been in place based on extremely vague and inconsistent rationale doesn’t look good for the government either.

9

u/FrozenSeas 11d ago

If they're going that route, I'd like to see it argued back to the pre-2020 original prohib list too (which I think would be within the possible scope of what the SC can do here?). The whole thing collapses if a challenge based on "suitable for sporting and hunting purposes" is considered valid...as long as it doesn't go the other way and end up as a total semiauto ban.

1

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

I’m not sure - there was something mentioned about bringing evidence that wasn’t previously submitted. Arguments largely surround the OIC’s and associated legislative context.

It certainly won’t lead to a semi-auto ban. Unless the gov is truly ban hungry I think even they want to be done with this whole farce

3

u/99spider 11d ago edited 5d ago

If the SC invalidated the OICs from 2020 onward, there would be no consistent reason for it to not automatically invalidate the OICs from the 90s as well

3

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Who knows! Would be crazy if it did. Apparently the AR-15 was flip flopped between restricted and non restricted between the 70s and 90s

1

u/Nilotaus 5d ago edited 5d ago

If the SC invalidated the OICs from 2020 onward, there would be no consistent reason for it to not that automatically invalidate the OICs from the 90s

People who have been charged for marijuana possession(not quantities large enough to suggest intent to distribute) have had their corresponding criminal convictions completely revoked & were released from prison back when it was decriminalized, so it would in a legal sense have to be that way due to precedent law because otherwise what the fuck are we even doing as a country.

Precedent law regarding this is also another reason why the liberals are fucking goddamn stupid shitheads with the firearms bans, because there is a very real possibility that criminally convicted offenders who earned their firearms offense charges could have their charges revoked & be released from prison early with how the LPC structured the entire boondoggle if the SCC rules in CCFR's favour and ends up reversing all the related OIC's. But honestly the liberals have made that bed & now they get to lie in it whether they like it or not.

6

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

I'd also say the fact if I remember right the government has claimed in every other level of court they would provide fair compensation to all affected owners and clearly haven't done that and there is amble evidence that they haven't even attempted to do so really doesn't help them.

6

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Yeah I think this is part of why the granted leave to hear the appeal. The federal court supposedly dismissed the appeal with the excuse that fair compensation would be given - which is very misleading and I think they’re being downright dishonest

5

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

I honestly don't know why that angle isn't talked about more like in Canada and a fair few nations we already have what is practically legal government theft expect they have to pay for the shit last I checked and often times prove they need to do this. Like to me it seems to be this biggest thing that is already proven in law that if you take something you got to pay for it.

2

u/Alive-Big-838 8d ago

I think this was on purpose honestly. it's almost like they set the dominoes to topple on purpose. but maybe not idk

4

u/PantherD1943 12d ago

Unfortunately, the issue of property and firearms is already settled at law. That is not going to change in this case. Reference re: The Firearms Act is the case that Parliament's jurisdiction over firearms very clear. 

2

u/Alive-Big-838 8d ago

Listen just in case you're feeling a little blackpilled (I get it, i had a tough work week too), they're not getting these guns back ever. they know this. Every single province is against it. They literally had to scramble to even make any attempt at looking like they didn't screw up preparing any form of collection. I think Trudeau had way more gumption to actually "Attempt" to do this buyback then Carney and he spent 6 years paying off Liberal buddies and not even one firearm was bought back.

We're just fighting a long fight here.

11

u/gnoolretaw 12d ago

The majority of the current justices of supreme court were appointed by LPC though. I wouldnt be surprised if the court writes a concurring opinion with a limitation like "OIC is in general not ok but when applied to guns thats fine"

20

u/Eglitarian 12d ago

Gun ownership was the casualty in this case, but you're completely correct. The supreme court has less interest in this case as it pertains to gun ownership and more as it pertains to keeping the power of OICs in check (which they should, as seen in the US all it takes is one despot with access to OICs/Executive Orders to wreak absolute havoc).

One can hope that as you pointed out: if they take their L quietly the LPC will drop the issue going forward. Call it betting long odds or pointless hope but I get the feeling the current leadership considers the gun debate more of a distraction from their main agendas of economy, bail reform, and rearmament of the CAF, and getting the OIC case either struck down by SC or reversed by LPC will be about as close to a win as we can expect at this point. A couple high-profile cases lately with supposedly prohibited firearms being used against the public and law enforcement by individuals who already had firearms prohibitions probably isn't going to help them but instead highlight the bigger issue that is a catch-and-release justice system.

Frankly, if Carney is as pragmatic as he tries to purports to be, this is his golden ticket to finding a way out of Trudeau's ridiculously expensive buyback program without having to lose face with the ministers in his party who supported it.

8

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

The fact they ruled against the LPC very recently is also a good thing. It sort of helps counter the defeatist arguments we see here about the judges walking in step with the government.

2

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

What did they rule against them?

4

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Correction: the federal courts ruled that the use of the emergencies act was not appropriate and considered an overreach. They also dismissed the governments appeal.

The Supreme Court has yet to decide if they’d grant leave. So it doesn’t really add much weight to this case, but it’s still promising that the government is being held accountable

3

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

"Correction: the federal courts ruled that the use of the emergencies act was not appropriate and considered an overreach." Um what exactly does that amount to? Like is the government going to have politicians arrested or what? Like what exactly happens when they find shit like this to be an overreach?

4

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

If the SCC hears the appeal and renders a decision: basically the most likely outcome is reform, it would not amount to any kind of criminal charge. Really it’s more that a ruling could set future legal and legislative precedent.

It’s similar to the potential outcomes of the CCFR case. The courts rule government overreach: they’re forced to amend the emergencies act to clearly define the parameters to which you can invoke the act in the future, or potentially there will be some mechanism or higher scrutiny that forces the government to better justify invoking the act. Maybe they’d also need to pay reparations or remedy damages.

Grain of salt really, but with the CCFR they won’t just unban all guns, but there’s a very real (though likelihood is up in the air) chance they could nullify the OICs with an amnesty period (ironic right?) and require an amendment to Bill C21. That effectively unbans all 2500 models of firearm hit by the OICs, but leaves them in stasis with the amnesty until the government decides what to do. Hopefully - IF ALL OF THIS EVEN HAPPENS - they’d just throw their arms up and say “we tried, we won’t ban anything else and will instead need to review the current legislation and classification process and we will decide if we can reform the system in the name of public safety”. If THAT happens, it could mean years before they ever table anything and it becomes a distant dream until election time. Though this is all speculation, but IMO it is definitely probable and could mean their gun control platform withers and dies like the long gun registry.

3

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

Thanks for the response. You'd think that this shit would already be clearly defined and have high scrutiny but just like everything that's important in Canada it' seems they refuse to clarify what the fuck a thing is until after the fact. Cough Reasonable limits" Cough oakes test cough.

5

u/Ok-Bowler-203 12d ago

Well put. Everyone across the entire political spectrum should follow this - it could give any future party in power unprecedented powers.

6

u/Humble_Canuck 12d ago

Absolutely awesome response. I wager you are a well read and educated individual. Thanks for educating those here.

3

u/rastamasta45 11d ago

Much appreciated for the kind words, educating everyone is our best tool against the LPC overreach

4

u/Vivie74 12d ago

One thing I would be curious to see is the OIC and Property Rights. Especially given we are looking at this ALTO disaster.. what if an idea was to be made that they could use an OIC to take land for the purpose of this project - damned be the protests.

Something to think about.

2

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

Can't they already do that? But like they're forced to actually pay unlike now where they aren't even bothering to pay.

1

u/Zarphos 10d ago

Whose land has been seized without payment?

2

u/InitialAd4125 10d ago

No I was talking about the guns and how the government is avoiding fair payment.

4

u/HatchingCougar 12d ago

The LPC can’t drop the battle, as the appeal isn’t theirs

8

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

No they can drop the circumstances before the arguments are made “I.e grandfather, slight backtrack” anything because ultimately I don’t think they want to lose the immense power of the oic in its poorly written form

1

u/Eventual_disclaimer 11d ago

I skimmed the appeal, the court agreed that the OIC is valid, and the Gov't did not overstep. I hope the argument has changed, or evolved for the supreme court challenge, otherwise we're boned.

1

u/Cre_AK47 Name Prohibited by OIC 10d ago

Agreed. The main question the SCC will have to answer is whether the Legislative branch has the authority to delegate what in effect is criminal law, to the Executive branch of the government. P.E.T added that delegation to law since the 1960's, but it likely wasn't legal this whole time.

-9

u/androstaxys 12d ago

OP, you’re wrong.

Even if the government wins this case everything you described would and could be challenged again.

Your fear mongering into OIC being used to criminalized speech and political ideas/opponents.

These rights are protected under the charter and OIC does not have the authority to override those.

Provincial notwithstanding clauses can do much more harm to your rights and even then it can’t override democratic rights, mobility rights and language rights.

6

u/rastamasta45 11d ago

I have to disagree here, because that is precisely what the government used OIC’s for under the guise of public safety.

Small example, Trudeau banned plastic straws and bags via OIC citing toxins and public health concern, this was struck down by the Supreme Court as no evidence was provided it was a public health concern.

Remember when you state that we are protected by the charter, we’re only protected per se after the violation occurs. So the government in effect right now has demonstrated criminal law and property seizure via oic is allowed. As long as they can cite a public concern of safety, they justify it.

For example, we need your homes for the Alto Rail, linking our economy is of public concern due to trade threats from the US, therefore we don’t have to offer you fair compensation, via OIC it is a criminal offence to impede economic development and you must forfeit your home or face imprisonment.

Sounds outlandish right….but the government is literately doing that right now, with people’s guns in the literal hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Businesses lost millions and went bankrupt, all via OIC and threat of imprisonment. Don’t they wont get excited and use it for more when given the chance

-2

u/androstaxys 11d ago edited 11d ago

Right. What you’re saying is that if they win it gives free access.

I’m saying it doesn’t.

Your reply demonstrates my point. Feds attempt to abuse, court shuts it down. Ie your straw example.

Problem solved, court working as intended.

So no, if they win this it doesn’t suddenly give the federal government a blank cheque to step on all of your freedoms. If they abuse OIC authority, courts will shut it down.

I agree it would be nice if the federal government didn’t make attempts like this… but that’s not what’s being discussed.

Also you’re moving goal posts a little. You said SPECIFICALLY using OIC to criminalize political opponents.

And given how OIC works thats not possible, which means you don’t understand how these things work or you made a bold faced lie intended to inflame readers.

The governor general is not legally able to sign anything that criminalizes political opponents.

3

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

The charter isn't worth the paper it's written on.

32

u/Spider-King-270 12d ago

All firearms will be banned, all RPAL/PAL holders must report for government reeducation immediately! / s

13

u/Natural_Comparison21 12d ago

Average Canada guns doomer poster:

Like you were spot on in that comment.

5

u/OniDelta al 12d ago

Actually, they are already all banned. The PAL/RPAL exempts us from that. This alone is basically why our gun control system works as well as it does. Anything on top of this is extreme.

3

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

Nah the only gun control that would actually work is disarming nations and reorganizing them to behave like Switzerland. After all some of the biggest mass killers are the governments. They just claim it's fine when they're not killing us.

0

u/jachojanjandyjavage 11d ago

With the way MSM is and the bills that got rammed through I wouldn't be surprised if we get this in the near future.

27

u/Cager_CA 12d ago

Two ways.

Either the government wins and the OICs stay or the CCFR wins and the Liberals use their majority to push through bans anyway and mop up the SKS with Indig carveouts.

29

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

If I’m wrong I’ll be the first to eat crow, but I don’t think a bill will save them, because they already know compliance is abysmal, they essentially stress tested it and it failed…with threat of prison.

A bill could save them from this court case sure, but they’re in the same exact pickle as before the bill. How do you get the guns? Who will enforce, are you ready for the potential repercussion of mass criminalization of 100,000 plus Canadians (who are all by definition armed)

Will you justify this bill in the face of Alberta separatism that already scream to high heavens that the LPC is now ruling without representation.

I just don’t think the LPC have the political will nor capital to just shove a bill to make this an even worse mess.

Or maybe they’re ready for Canada to collapse already. I don’t know I’m just a random guy on Reddit

12

u/Cager_CA 12d ago

I'm just approaching this from the perspective that Carney's got so much popularity in this country he could potentially do anything at this point and he wouldn't see an approval dip. They have plenty of capital and good will with their voterbase who want guns gone, and it's not like most people here are voting for him to begin with so it's not lost votes if he acts.

I also can't see an outcome where people are allowed to take these evil weapons of war out of the safes to be used again, that's a pie in the face I don't think the Liberals could stomach.

3

u/FishAye5 11d ago

Carney has enough battles to our South to be fighting with elements of his own population, especially when some of them may sympathize with his aforementioned opponent.

2

u/CenturionV 11d ago

They will definitely frame it as "Not letting the gun lobby win" and that the court ruling was a "procedural issue" I could see them just passing a law banning all the OIC firearms without confiscation. They stay prohibited for use and safe queens indefinitely and the only way to be rid of them is to destroy them (like they did with handguns). Poly won't like it, gun owners won't like it, but it won't cost the liberals a penny, and it will get the conservatives off their back on it mostly AND we still don't get to use them or take them out of the safe. They essentially shelve the entire thing for the future with that approach and make it some other future conservative/liberal government's problem.

6

u/gamercast1337 12d ago

You don't seem to understand carney has the pull and the political capital (somehow) to have the rcmp go door to door rounding up gun owners for being "dangerous " like how trump is using ICE for immigrants, and the voters literally wouldn't care, see the connection or actually cheer for it. Doesn't matter if the cops dont agree with it, what will they do? Mass refuse ? Haha, its their job, their job and livelihood comes first over a strangers. 

5

u/InitialAd4125 11d ago

"Haha, its their job, their job and livelihood comes first over a strangers."

Yeah and to have that you have to be alive. Going around collecting firearms from people isn't exactly a thing that screams safety. After all the post said yeah no last I checked. So has pretty much every department.

15

u/TescoValueSoup 12d ago

Indigenous carveouts would send things right back to court with a new/different charter challenge

6

u/Cager_CA 12d ago

for one rifle yes, not all.

2

u/Alive-Big-838 8d ago

I don't know if i fully agree with this since it sounds like they're upset about a lot more then the SKS... i'm a little confused by the buck stopped at the SKS though.

12

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

I’m quite hopeful. IMO, with the way carney was referring to the case, the merit of the case itself, along with all of the interveners, as well as the previous SCC ruling for the use of the emergencies act for the trucker situation, it’s likely the SCC is directly interested in this case for the purposes of exploring the legal precedent.

To what extent their ruling will be in our favour? That I can’t really predict, but I do strongly believe we’ll see some beneficial change.

It’s interesting IPSC Canada has recently applied to intervene. Would be nice to see them continue to push for handgun exemptions as well but that’s another legislative battle to be fought in the future.

1

u/benjy017 11d ago

How was Carney referring to the case? I have not seen that anywhere

3

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

The press conference following the MTL shooting.

Many interpreted what he said as grim news, but really it seemed interesting or promising to me.

He was asked about banning the SKS and basically said:

“we’re looking at what we can do to reform things, but regarding the SKS we will listen to the RCMP and will also need to work within the law. As you know there is a Supreme Court case and we will await what is decided and move forward at that point”.

This is not verbatim and probably has more value to give the video a watch, but in my opinion this is political speak to basically say:

“no we wont be banning the sks if the RCMP does don’t deem it necessary” and “we will beed to comply with the law and will need to wait as this is being called into question”

9

u/guestpassonly 12d ago

I'm skeptical. It's a majority liberal government so... they can do wtf they want

16

u/SpectreBallistics Spectre Ballistics International (Verified) 12d ago

Nothing will change. The bans will remain in place.

3

u/mwmwmwmwmmdw 11d ago

insofar as carney easily has the votes in parliment to pass any gun control he wants because even with a minority the NDP and bloc trip over themselves all the time to say how much they love gun control and want more of it.

its more it is struck down will carney decides he wants to spend the effort getting it through parliament or use the out to do something diffrent and much cheaper

35

u/boozefiend3000 12d ago

I don’t think we’ll win. Canada is a joke of a place 

22

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

Have faith

17

u/boozefiend3000 12d ago

It’s hard lol we’ll see I guess 

5

u/moonpie_888 11d ago

agreed honestly unfortunately

16

u/Bull-RunTheJewels 12d ago

I have zero faith. Our country is a joke.

2

u/CenturionV 11d ago

Unfortunately we could "win" by getting rid of the OIC only to lose by having them just do it through legislation. A conservative minority could get rid of the OIC in one day, but they will need a big majority, and the political will to change codified law (not assured considering how weak some conservatives are on firearms and property rights)

3

u/EnvironmentBright697 11d ago

Based Joeyy fan

2

u/Cock_ball_dickin 11d ago

He’s my goat

2

u/Equivalent-Shoe-1652 11d ago

I think that if Carney is the smart leader that people think he is. He will take this off ramp. It doesn't make sense financially and legally to keep pursuing this buy back. That stats are against them, the property rights are against them and going forward will only alienate the liberal party further. Liberal voters might even start to question their policies if they start seeing family members and neighbors being raided in the night by police men. Smart play is to let the courts side with gun owners and call it democracy in action.

2

u/Cock_ball_dickin 11d ago

That would be smart but imo they flat out want us disarmed. I think he will take the off ramp with the OICs but then force a bill through parliament banning all semi autos, then next year it’ll be pump and lever action “assault style rapid fire weapons”, then “bolt action sniper rifles”, and by then there’s gonna be some kind of war or national emergency that the NATO thugs drag us into where they can confiscate all weapons. I’m being intentionally pessimistic and ridiculous here.

In all seriousness I think he will just take the off ramp and maybe a bill will be put forwards but who knows. I really could see it going either way, but man, man do I hope this rules in our favour in the best ways possible

95

u/IndiscreetTreat 12d ago edited 11d ago

Man, if the court upholds the governments decisions on all this, there is a whole Pandora’s box of precedent that this will set. Guns aside and all. Absolutely not good.

4

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Conversely, if the court rules overreach this could open up a whole Pandora’s box of precedent the other way. Happened with the Valmet and ar-15 (sort of)

7

u/IndiscreetTreat 11d ago

I doubt they would EVER give us MORE rights than we already don’t really have.

3

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Yeah good point - still, I think the door swings both ways given the power of the courts

4

u/thecoolernameistaken 11d ago

Canadas been doing that a lot lately. At this point I don’t even care man fuck this

50

u/Emergency_Rooster511 12d ago

IPSC Canada has jumped on board with the CCFR as well in this fight.

We all know the current government couldn’t care less about this, as they’re doing nothing more than implementing vibe based policy to appease a small and loud group of people.

However, in a courtroom, where evidence should rightfully carry more weight than feelings, I see this as a significant move in the right direction.

With 5000+ active members competing in everything from local club matches all the way to World Shoot, this will reinforce that the firearms in question do in fact have legitimate sporting purposes, directly countering what had been a cornerstone of the justification for the bans.

Whether we come out on top of this or not remains to be seen, but in the meanwhile have fun, be safe, and go join your local club/IPSC section and get out and compete.

Don’t be intimidated to try it, I suck and I still have a great time.

17

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

I think worst case we see a slightly underwhelming win. Best case is we get what we’re hoping for

6

u/Emergency_Rooster511 12d ago

I sure hope so.
Realistically, this is the most opportune off ramp for the government to get away from the whole fiasco without ever having to admit it was terrible policy from the start.

4

u/benjy017 11d ago

THIS is the golden ticket in my opinion - they know it is unpopular, even with non gun owners, and its expensive - they can walk away and say they tried

2

u/Emergency_Rooster511 11d ago

100%
They’ll preserve political capital with their voter base, and get to pretend they were trying to do the right thing.

1

u/benjy017 11d ago

The portion of their base that supports confiscation is shrinking rapidly by the day

74

u/TescoValueSoup 12d ago

28

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

I actually felt my heart sink a little

19

u/GinnAdvent 12d ago

I was hopping it would be the start or mid 2027, but it's not really like we have a choice.

But the fight definitely stays on for us firearm owners regardless of the outcome.

The only thing I am afraid of is the erosion of Canadians rights under the guise of protection, and not only firearms are under threat of "keeping community safe" but among other things too.

While rampant issues like gang violence, extortion cases, and domestic/mental health issues are going unchecked in the community.

9

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

Kinda like that border security bill that also just so happens to allow the RCMP to open your mail without a warrant. Well meaning yet has huge potential for malice and abuse from current and future government

11

u/RydNightwish 12d ago

Surely you jest. The agency that rounded up all the indigenous, blew up farms in the 70's and let the NS shooting go on unabated for a weekend?

No! I refuse to believe the mounties would open my sex toy packages from the US without a warrant.

8

u/Lumindan 11d ago

The only thing I am afraid of is the erosion of Canadians rights under the guise of protection

C22 and all that social media stuff the liberals are ramming through the house are just the tip of the iceberg on that front. Ugh.

38

u/Medical_Bluejay_7506 12d ago

This will either save us or end us

20

u/Armed_Accountant Whoever wants to touch my guns has to touch me first. 12d ago

Ain't saving shit. Government can just run legislation that the OIC tried to cover with their new found majority thanks to ahole crossers.

8

u/bosnanic 11d ago

His majority relies on a lot of blue liberals, he has been able to balance both his blue and red liberals but trying to do another sweeping gun legislation will cause issues. C-21 was already a mess after the G-4 and G-46 amendments were announced causing a revolt in the NDP-Liberal coalition with many MPs telling Trudeau they would lose their riding if the amendments passed.

Carney risks another revolt with his cabinet full of blue liberals.

37

u/JerkyMan360 12d ago

Cautiously optimistic

36

u/Tiny-Ear9080 12d ago

2026??

21

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

Yes

19

u/Milkbagistani 12d ago

That's just the date for the hearings. The rulings will follow at a later date - highly unlikely (although not impossible) that the court will make a ruling immediately after hearing arguments. And remember that there are something like four cases to be heard and ruled on as part of this process.

1

u/Same-Crazy3119 5d ago

Legal gun owners should be allowed to own whatever damn gun they want to . It doesn't mean they will all start shooting up shopping malls and such . It's terrible what the picture the liberal government has painted of legal owners in the eyes of all those that understand completely NOTHING about firearms or the laws regarding them .... very sad what this country has become 😢 

6

u/Flat-Dark-Earth Big Bore Specialist 11d ago

That was sooner than expected.

0

u/noobte 11d ago

maybe they wanna quickly deny it so the government can get back to its usual tyranny

25

u/Fluffy_Dad 12d ago

Another scenario would be that the court could overturn the OIC due to procedural errors, that way the government can save face an say they tried to ban guns and keep Canadians safe. Win/win situation, and no infringement on property rights

22

u/Cager_CA 12d ago edited 12d ago

The government has a majority. The OICs were done because it would've never survived the Trudeau era minority gov had it gone to a bill. This lawsuit would've had a lot more weight in a minority gov scenario.

9

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

Sure, but I think it’s very clear that gun control is only popular right now in a handful of places in Canada.

Many left leaning journalists and voters are sounding alarms re: some of the other recent political moves by the LPC. I think with the economy being what it is, they’ll just drop the whole thing (maybe).

The LPC has done less with a majority in the past and it’s politically expensive to continue down this route. Strengthening their majority also means they don’t rely on the specific Quebec ridings that want this most. Plus the LPC have proven they don’t really actually care as much about social progressiveness as much as in the Trudeau era, and with the austerity stance they’ve taken it’s the perfect time to wash their hands of this.

Could be pure cope but a lot of things have been aligning to indicate this is the path they’re taking.

3

u/Cager_CA 12d ago

Do you think we'll be pulling OICs out of the safes in the next few years?.

3

u/LessGrand1988 11d ago

The issue is so much people in Canada whom are totally unaware of functionality overwhelmingly support "assault rifle bans" while much more cautious with "non-assault rifles" regardless of action. Maybe at the very minimum this case could help most people realize just how illogical banning firearms by looks is and give Quebec their own little exemptions on banning all firearms or whatever they want over there

2

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 11d ago

Would make more sense to allow provinces to dictate a secondary layer of how they go about enforcing the firearms act. Keep things more federally permissive and each province can be as strict or relaxed as they’d like.

Though this could create the heterogeneity seen in the states, which could create legitimate issues

29

u/SisyphusCoffeeBreak 12d ago

I sure miss range days running my AR

12

u/boozefiend3000 12d ago

Yep. My AR was my favourite rifle 

8

u/IcySkyDream 12d ago

I’m buying a bougie hand guard for my AR right now. YOLO!

4

u/SisyphusCoffeeBreak 11d ago

shine on you crazy diamond

1

u/IcySkyDream 11d ago

🧐🫡

7

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 12d ago

I really feel like the AR is gonna be hard to kill. It was already in this position before and was specifically not banned due to calls for its use in sport.

It’ll get off the chopping block and will be back on the market as a restricted. Just a matter of time.

2

u/Nilotaus 10d ago

It’ll get off the chopping block and will be back on the market as a restricted

Shouldn't even be restricted in the first place. Hell I argue that the whole classification system needs to be scrapped for something more permissive like ATT-free use of handguns & no requirement of registration for any firearm, but that's a topic for another day.

There were close to like 12 semi-autos from different brands that fired 5.56 just fine and had the same effect on target as the AR-15, but the AR-15 is arbitrarily classified as restricted while the others you could even take out for hunting because of their non-restricted status.

You can tell it's a culture-war thing because of the insane level of focus on the AR-15, while the Mini-14/30 for the longest time was non-restricted despite again firing effectively the same ammunition and having been used in one of the more infamous shootings of this country which lead to the creation of the FAC in the first place.

2

u/Dill_Pickle_Tears 10d ago

Would be nice to use ARs for hunting like they do in the US. Hell you can already buy rifles that fire more powerful offerings in semi-auto, so what’s the difference.

Same with ATC’s. Would be cool if we could get additional licensing to then get ATCs for regular old hunting (for predator defence). Other thing is the government or regulating bodies could even profit off of it via courses and admin fees.

Theres a great deal of economic activity surrounding hunting and shooting that people don’t realize will wither and die. Family member of mine is a firearms owner who only cares for bolt actions and semi-supports the bans, but doesn’t realize that the hunters who buy one box of 20 cartridges every season don’t keep the lights on at their sporting goods store. It’s the AR guys and sport shooters who buy pallets of ammo or fun attachments and gear on the regular who keep everything afloat

19

u/Benefit_Waste 12d ago

Bring it on ccfr, and everybody else that’s helping the front. No more oics!

17

u/Successful_Pick_200 12d ago

Go get em fellas

13

u/adrenalineJ92 12d ago

Fingers crossed 🤞

10

u/willysnax 12d ago

I'm surprised it came up this quickly as well. Having said that, it would've been even better had it come up at the beginning of October before their due date or whatever they're calling it.

The Libs should really be hoping to lose this as it might give them a more graceful way out of the money pit mess they've got themselves into. Then they could back down and blame the courts.

Of course, they will still come up with some variation but at the very least, the OIC thing has got to go. I had been in the middle of getting my RPAL processed, where they supposedly lost my picture from the application 3 times before my provincial CFO sent it to their office directly. Within that same week, I had been arranging purchases of some target handguns, talking to an RCMP officer I knew who said nothing would happen for quite a while, then boom, the OIC went into effect days before my RPAL was finally processed and even my buddy was caught completely off guard. That was the end of my handgun hobby I was just getting into.

I'd never even heard of an OIC before that and now it seems quite coincidental that my license was held up just long enough for it to go into effect. Losing my application picture 3 times? I'm sure it happens all the time.

What's the point of even having a parliament and laws, bills, and so on if any minority government can simply jam an OIC through in 2 days without warning to even veteran RCMP officers who were left not knowing what the hell it even meant for them.

I don't know enough about what could result from this case but I really hope this OIC maneuver doesn't become a precedent setting tactic for any government to use for whatever personal property, legally acquired, they decide should no longer be possessed regardless of any consultation or public will. As others have mentioned, this could be a very scary precedent and when these anti-gun advocates start losing property that they care about without any say, maybe they'll finally get it through their heads that it's not just gun "nuts" making a fuss over their stuff.

10

u/saneboy 12d ago

Wow. Wasn't expecting this to happen until 2027

28

u/[deleted] 12d ago

[deleted]

23

u/MoridinXP 12d ago

I think we have a good chance, based on the dubious precedent it would set if they uphold these OICs. It would allow any future government to just arbitraly ban anything they want, without any kind of discourse and that is a slippery slope.

18

u/JacobA89 12d ago

Or is that what they want lol

11

u/RealTurbulentMoose 12d ago

The courts rule in ways the government hates all the time.

I wouldn’t say this is dead in the water at all.

3

u/gamercast1337 12d ago

Not to be rude,  but dumbass, thats what they want lmao. To be able to arbitrarily ban anything. You think the courts and gov wouldn't be in bed with this? Especially in THIS Corrupt carney gov??

8

u/Itameborat 12d ago

Don’t be a Debby downer

7

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

I legitimately think this negatively is just not helpful

4

u/[deleted] 12d ago

[deleted]

9

u/Office_Responsible 11d ago

When a government entity moves that quick, I sure get suspicious. I really want this to workout for us and for the rights of all Canadians. Rationally I’m skeptical.

4

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago

It's not quick, its almost bang on the SCCs average time between granting leave and hearing a case

5

u/TescoValueSoup 12d ago

This means there's a universe where a judgement is given on the 10th, and not reserved.
Resulting in the earliest possible amnesty date being February 8th 2027

5

u/mwmwmwmwmmdw 11d ago

imagine the lawyers working on this. its a big deal in a lawyers career to arguing a case at the supreme court.

10

u/One-Hospital9253 12d ago

Owning firearms was fun while it lasted. I dont see much point in buying anything new anymore. A Makasi would have been cool. Just a reminder that this is the same governement that used the emergencies act unlawfully and faced zero repercussions. When the Government wins this case does anybody have an accurate timeline/prediction for what will happen to firearms ownership?

-9

u/RydNightwish 12d ago edited 11d ago

Same outlook. Any win is temporary at most. The bill to ban all semis was defeated. So they just wait a few months and OIC'd it later. Best Im begging for is to not have the threat of politically motivated imprisonment hanging over my head anymore. If a win gives creates an opening to legally sell everything I have to other PAL holders, then thats gonna be my ultimate out. Its been 7 years. I dont have more years to dedicate or have half my salary in assets frozen when poly or the libs try this again. Im tapping out.

10

u/AsparagusUnhappy5395 12d ago

Don’t give them what they want man….

1

u/Bavarian_Raven 11d ago

Heès just being realistic.

3

u/Infinite_Price_3550 12d ago

Fuck this is somehow sooner but also later then I wanted it to be.

3

u/kinghalifax902 11d ago

Lees hope one of the judges has some of the banned firearms

9

u/Mosquitoisland 12d ago

Does most believe the supreme court judges are really impartial, independent of government influence? I don't believe it for one second. This country is a scam and corrupt from top to bottom and coast to coast to coast. Send the asteroid

10

u/rastamasta45 12d ago

They’ve ruled against the government about 45% of the time, so it’s not as bad as we’ll think

5

u/CeleryNo76 11d ago

Good thing I had no plans of quitting smoking anytime soon

7

u/[deleted] 12d ago

[deleted]

8

u/TopReach1866 12d ago

Kind of walking into a trap when you play their game in their courts

2

u/Hopeful_Relation_441 12d ago

justice marie hogue has some time in her schedule

2

u/just_ate_a_pinecone 12d ago

Dumb question but is this now the deadline for the amnesty period? I didn’t sign up for the buyback but the amnesty was extended to this date? Or the outcome of the trial (I’m hoping we win obviously)

7

u/Infinite_Price_3550 11d ago

Amnesty ends 3 months after the ruling of the trial is handed down.

3

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago

The ruling will likely be 6 months from the hearing and amnesty ends 3 months after that. We're looking at a late 2027 amnesty.

2

u/SurtseyHuginn 11d ago

When do we create a polymarket bet lol

2

u/poorlostlamb 11d ago

Let's say for arguments sake that the government loses, can't they just make it into law instead or am I misunderstanding something ?

3

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago

They could but passing legislation takes time and wouldn't make the buyback any less of a shit show to actually execute.

3

u/nulstate77 11d ago

The fact that the case is being heard so early has me worried - I thought for sure this would be a 2027 thing.

Now I think it’s politically motivated - which will not play out in our favour.

3

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago edited 11d ago

The ruling won't come out until mid 2027, on average it takes 6 months for them to release a ruling. If it were political they would've just declined to hear the case. 8 months from granting leave is actually slightly higher than the SCCs average time between leave and hearing.

2

u/the2-2homerun 12d ago

I can’t seem to find anything to read about this.

I’d like to see exactly what will be talked about. Anyone have any links?

1

u/EnglishmanInMH 12d ago

Dude! Where have you been? 😉

Scroll down a bit on this page and you can download the Factum.

https://firearmrights.ca/ccfrs-supreme-court-factum/

1

u/the2-2homerun 12d ago

Not on this page lol.

1

u/julienjj 12d ago

So judgment in just a few years i assume.

1

u/Unknownuser010203 11d ago

Nothing to lose, everything to gain!

1

u/Zarphos 10d ago

Very concerning how little knowledge there is in this thread about our system of government, and what little there is seeming to be onoy in relation to this case.

1

u/Never_had_dream 10d ago

Pistols will remain banned for purchase or transfer. A nothing burger. Carry on.

1

u/Office_Responsible 10d ago

I seriously doubt we will ever get handguns back in meaningful amount of time, if ever.

3

u/Never_had_dream 10d ago

This case isn’t even about handguns. Those were banned separately. This is about the restricted/nonrestricted guns that look too scary for liberals. The handguns are gone. Period.

0

u/noobte 11d ago

thats pretty early

5

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago

Leave was granted in March 2026 and the hearing is Nov 9-10, 2026 that's about 8 months. The SCC's own 10-year stats show the average time between granting leave and hearing is 7.9 months.

4

u/Office_Responsible 11d ago

Agreed. It’s actually got me more nervous that it won’t be fair and the outcome is already decided against us. Government entities don’t usually move that fast

-5

u/Neat_Imagination2503 12d ago

How do people not understand this does not matter. Even if we win now that they have a majority they will just ban it through legislation….

8

u/Infinite_Price_3550 11d ago

So we should just give up and turn all our guns in? Did you turn your guns in and collect your buy back money yet?

1

u/[deleted] 11d ago

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1

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6

u/boozefiend3000 11d ago

You still have to fight 

2

u/MajorCocknBalls 11d ago

Even if we win now that they have a majority they will just ban it through legislation….

because that takes more time and doesn't make actually performing the buyback any less of a cluster fuck.